Ecuador vs Brazil: result 1-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification South AmericaGroup Stage - 15Kick-off on January 27, 2022 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, Quito
Full time
What was the result of Ecuador vs Brazil?
Ecuador and Brazil drew 1-1 on January 27, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 6′CasemiroBrazil
- 75′F. TorresEcuador
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ecuador have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Brazil have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | El Salvador(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2021 | Chile(away) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Venezuela(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 28, 2021 | Mexico(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 14, 2021 | Colombia(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2021 | Argentina(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Nov 12, 2021 | Colombia(home) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 15, 2021 | Uruguay(home) | 4-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Colombia(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Oct 7, 2021 | Venezuela(away) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification South America |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Ecuador win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Brazil win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2021 | Brazil 1-1 Ecuador | Copa America |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Brazil 2-0 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 1, 2017 | Brazil 2-0 Ecuador | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Sep 1, 2016 | Ecuador 0-3 Brazil | World Cup - Qualification South America |
| Jun 5, 2016 | Brazil 0-0 Ecuador | Copa America |
How many goals should we expect?
Ecuador score 1.2 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Brazil score 1.7 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | 1.2 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Brazil | 1.7 | 0.3 | 10 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ecuador sit 2nd in World Cup - Qualification South America (29 points from 18 matches) and Brazil sit 5th (28 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ecuador | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 5 | 29 |
| 5 | Brazil | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 28 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy