Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 33Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Meadowbank Stadium, Edinburgh
The Footlab AI model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kelty Hearts. The most likely score is 1-1. If Edinburgh City wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,364 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Edinburgh City (1,511) and Kelty Hearts (1,492).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Edinburgh City
4-3-3- 7L. Walker
- 20T. North
- 11I. Lawson
- 18M. Aiken
- 21F. Rowe
- 10J. Jarvis
- 2C. McGinn
- 23J. McGregor
- 5J. Grigor
- 4C. Pitt
- 22S. Dowie
Kelty Hearts
4-2-3-1- 29R. Shanley
- 14J. Hislop
- 26R. Cunningham
- 17M. Falconer
- 23L. Moore
- 10I. Murray
- 5C. Flatman
- 3C. Hannah
- 22Z. Flatman
- 35J. Brydon
- 1J. Smith
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 03:18 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Edinburgh City have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Kelty Hearts have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Partick(home) | 0-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dumbarton(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kelty Hearts(home) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Edinburgh City(away) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Edinburgh City wins, 0 draws, 4 Kelty Hearts wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Edinburgh City 4-1 Kelty Hearts | FA Cup |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kelty Hearts 1-3 Edinburgh City | League Two |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Kelty Hearts 3-1 Edinburgh City | League One |
| Feb 13, 2024 | Kelty Hearts 3-2 Edinburgh City | League One |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Edinburgh City 0-3 Kelty Hearts | League One |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Edinburgh City 1-4 Kelty Hearts | League One |
Last archived meeting: Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Edinburgh City score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Kelty Hearts score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edinburgh City | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Kelty Hearts | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Edinburgh City sit 7th in League Two (15 points from 13 matches) and Kelty Hearts sit 5th (18 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kelty Hearts | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 23 | 18 |
| 7 | Edinburgh City | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 20 | 15 |
A question about Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts?
- The Footlab AI model makes Edinburgh City the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kelty Hearts.
- Where and when is Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts played?
- Edinburgh City vs Kelty Hearts is played on April 10, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Meadowbank Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.