EGS Gafsa vs Ariana: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 6Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stade du 7 Novembre, Gafsa
The Footlab AI model makes EGS Gafsa the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Ariana. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.5% of the 3,618 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win EGS Gafsa vs Ariana?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate EGS Gafsa (1,584) and Ariana (1,613).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for EGS Gafsa vs Ariana
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
EGS Gafsa
Not enough data to predict the EGS Gafsa lineup.
Ariana
Not enough data to predict the Ariana lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 05:10 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, EGS Gafsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Ariana have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | CO Medenine(home) | 3-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Olympique du Kef(away) | 2-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Korba(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | AS Kasserine(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| May 12, 2026 | EO Sidi Bouzid(home) | 5-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2026 | Ksour Essef(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Kalaâ Sport(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Jendouba Sport(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Stade Gabesien(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| May 12, 2026 | Moknine(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 EGS Gafsa wins, 2 draws, 0 Ariana wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | Ariana 1-1 EGS Gafsa | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | EGS Gafsa 0-0 Ariana | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
EGS Gafsa score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Ariana score 1.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EGS Gafsa | 1.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Ariana | 1.4 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
EGS Gafsa sit 24th in Ligue 2 (3 points from 4 matches) and Ariana sit 18th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Ariana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 24 | EGS Gafsa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
A question about EGS Gafsa vs Ariana?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for EGS Gafsa vs Ariana?
- The Footlab AI model makes EGS Gafsa the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Ariana.
- Where and when is EGS Gafsa vs Ariana played?
- EGS Gafsa vs Ariana is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stade du 7 Novembre, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.