Eilenburg vs Einheit Wernigerode: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ilburg-Stadion, Eilenburg
The Footlab model makes Eilenburg the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Einheit Wernigerode. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eilenburg vs Einheit Wernigerode?
Eilenburg starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (1,739 vs 1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eilenburg have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Einheit Wernigerode have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dresden II(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Budissa Bautzen(away) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 4, 2026 | SV Babelsberg 03(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Hallescher FC(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| May 8, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Halle(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | Heiligenstadt(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Empor Glauchau(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Eilenburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Einheit Wernigerode win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2023 | Einheit Wernigerode 2-2 Eilenburg | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 19, 2022 | Eilenburg 3-1 Einheit Wernigerode | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Einheit Wernigerode vs Eilenburg on Feb 12, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Eilenburg score 1.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Einheit Wernigerode score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eilenburg | 1.5 | 2.3 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Einheit Wernigerode | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eilenburg sit 4th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 1 matches) and Einheit Wernigerode sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Eilenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Einheit Wernigerode | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eilenburg vs Einheit Wernigerode?
- The Footlab model makes Eilenburg the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Einheit Wernigerode.
- Where and when is Eilenburg vs Einheit Wernigerode played?
- Eilenburg vs Einheit Wernigerode is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Ilburg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.