SC Freital vs Empor Glauchau: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens, Freital
The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Empor Glauchau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Freital vs Empor Glauchau?
SC Freital starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freital have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Empor Glauchau have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ZFC Meuselwitz(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Einheit Wernigerode(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Heiligenstadt(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 SC Freital win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Empor Glauchau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Empor Glauchau 1-4 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 30, 2025 | SC Freital 2-0 Empor Glauchau | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Empor Glauchau vs SC Freital on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Freital score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Empor Glauchau score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freital | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Empor Glauchau | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Freital sit 5th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 2 matches) and Empor Glauchau sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SC Freital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Empor Glauchau | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Freital vs Empor Glauchau?
- The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Empor Glauchau.
- Where and when is SC Freital vs Empor Glauchau played?
- SC Freital vs Empor Glauchau is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.