Budissa Bautzen vs Weissenfels: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Müllerwiese, Bautzen
The Footlab model makes Weissenfels the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Budissa Bautzen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Budissa Bautzen vs Weissenfels?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Budissa Bautzen (1,714) and Weissenfels (1,764).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Budissa Bautzen have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Weissenfels have 2, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Einheit Rudolstadt(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Eilenburg(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(home) | 0-14 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Auerbach(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
How many goals should we expect?
Budissa Bautzen score 1.7 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Weissenfels score 2.0 and concede 0.0. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Budissa Bautzen | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Weissenfels | 2.0 | 0.0 | 2 | 0/2 | 1/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Budissa Bautzen sit 13th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (1 points from 2 matches) and Weissenfels sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Weissenfels | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Budissa Bautzen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Budissa Bautzen vs Weissenfels?
- The Footlab model makes Weissenfels the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Budissa Bautzen.
- Where and when is Budissa Bautzen vs Weissenfels played?
- Budissa Bautzen vs Weissenfels is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Müllerwiese, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.