Einheit Wernigerode vs SC Freital: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 6Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sportplatz Mannsbergstraße, Wernigerode
The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Einheit Wernigerode. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Einheit Wernigerode vs SC Freital?
SC Freital starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,801 vs 1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Einheit Wernigerode have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; SC Freital have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Halle(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | Heiligenstadt(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Empor Glauchau(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | FC Lok Stendal(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Einheit Wernigerode win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 SC Freital win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | SC Freital 3-0 Einheit Wernigerode | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Einheit Wernigerode 0-5 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Apr 26, 2025 | SC Freital 1-2 Einheit Wernigerode | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Einheit Wernigerode 3-4 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Einheit Wernigerode 2-0 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 2, 2023 | SC Freital 4-2 Einheit Wernigerode | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: SC Freital vs Einheit Wernigerode on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Einheit Wernigerode score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freital score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Einheit Wernigerode | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| SC Freital | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Einheit Wernigerode sit 9th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 2 matches) and SC Freital sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SC Freital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Einheit Wernigerode | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Einheit Wernigerode vs SC Freital?
- The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Einheit Wernigerode.
- Where and when is Einheit Wernigerode vs SC Freital played?
- Einheit Wernigerode vs SC Freital is played on September 27, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sportplatz Mannsbergstraße, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.