Eintracht Frankfurt II vs FSV Mainz 05 II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ahorn Camp Sportpark, Dreieich
The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt II the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for FSV Mainz 05 II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eintracht Frankfurt II vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
Eintracht Frankfurt II starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (2,033 vs 1,915).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Frankfurt II have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; FSV Mainz 05 II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Aalen(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hessen Kassel(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Wehen(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Kreuzlingen(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Eintracht Frankfurt II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 FSV Mainz 05 II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 II 0-0 Eintracht Frankfurt II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 2, 2024 | Eintracht Frankfurt II 0-0 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 9, 2024 | FSV Mainz 05 II 0-1 Eintracht Frankfurt II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Eintracht Frankfurt II 6-1 FSV Mainz 05 II | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Eintracht Frankfurt II 1-0 FSV Mainz 05 II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Frankfurt II on Nov 30, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Eintracht Frankfurt II score 2.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FSV Mainz 05 II score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt II | 2.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| FSV Mainz 05 II | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eintracht Frankfurt II sit 11th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 3 matches) and FSV Mainz 05 II sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eintracht Frankfurt II vs FSV Mainz 05 II?
- The Footlab model makes Eintracht Frankfurt II the favourite at 54%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for FSV Mainz 05 II.
- Where and when is Eintracht Frankfurt II vs FSV Mainz 05 II played?
- Eintracht Frankfurt II vs FSV Mainz 05 II is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Ahorn Camp Sportpark, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsFSV Frankfurt
- Nov 14, 2026TSV SteinbachvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Nov 14, 2026Freiburg IIvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Nov 14, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsKickers Offenbach
- Nov 14, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsVfR Aalen
- Nov 14, 2026SGV FreibergvsEintracht Trier
- Nov 14, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsHessen Kassel
- Nov 14, 2026VfR MannheimvsSV Sandhausen