SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Eintracht Trier. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier?
SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Eintracht Trier have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC 08 Homburg(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaiserslautern II(away) | 5-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Jul 18, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Hoffenheim II(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | RB Leipzig(home) | 0-6 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Mannheim(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Alemannia Aachen(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ahrweiler(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SGV Freiberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Eintracht Trier win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht Trier | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Eintracht Trier 1-4 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 29, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht Trier | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Eintracht Trier 2-0 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 22, 2023 | SGV Freiberg 2-1 Eintracht Trier | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Eintracht Trier 1-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Trier score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 1.7 | 2.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Eintracht Trier | 1.3 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and Eintracht Trier sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SGV Freiberg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Eintracht Trier | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier?
- The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Eintracht Trier.
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier played?
- SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsFSV Frankfurt
- Nov 14, 2026TSV SteinbachvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Nov 14, 2026Freiburg IIvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Nov 14, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsKickers Offenbach
- Nov 14, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsVfR Aalen
- Nov 14, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsHessen Kassel
- Nov 14, 2026VfR MannheimvsSV Sandhausen
- Nov 14, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsFSV Mainz 05 II