SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg
The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Eintracht Trier. The most likely score is 1-1. If SGV Freiberg wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,156 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier?
SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 166-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,912).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SGV Freiberg
Not enough data to predict the SGV Freiberg lineup.
Eintracht Trier
Not enough data to predict the Eintracht Trier lineup.
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 05:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Eintracht Trier have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Freiburg II(away) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Stuttgarter Kickers(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | FSV Frankfurt(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Astoria Walldorf(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | SSV Ulm 1846(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - SudWest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SGV Freiberg wins, 1 draw, 1 Eintracht Trier win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht Trier | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Eintracht Trier 1-4 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Mar 29, 2025 | SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht Trier | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Eintracht Trier 2-0 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Apr 22, 2023 | SGV Freiberg 2-1 Eintracht Trier | Regionalliga - SudWest |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Eintracht Trier 1-1 SGV Freiberg | Regionalliga - SudWest |
Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SGV Freiberg score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Trier score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGV Freiberg | 2.2 | 1.5 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Eintracht Trier | 1.1 | 1.5 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SGV Freiberg sit 1st in Regionalliga - SudWest (26 points from 12 matches) and Eintracht Trier sit 8th (19 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SGV Freiberg | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 31 | 12 | 26 |
| 8 | Eintracht Trier | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 19 |
A question about SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier?
- The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Eintracht Trier.
- Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier played?
- SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 14, 2026FC 08 HomburgvsFSV Frankfurt
- Nov 14, 2026TSV SteinbachvsSSV Ulm 1846
- Nov 14, 2026Freiburg IIvsFC Astoria Walldorf
- Nov 14, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.vsKickers Offenbach
- Nov 14, 2026Kaiserslautern IIvsVfR Aalen
- Nov 14, 2026Stuttgarter KickersvsHessen Kassel
- Nov 14, 2026VfR MannheimvsSV Sandhausen
- Nov 14, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt IIvsFSV Mainz 05 II