Match

SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 16Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg

SGV FreibergEintracht Trier

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Eintracht Trier. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier?

SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,887).

SGV Freiberg win52 %
Draw24 %
Eintracht Trier win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Eintracht Trier have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SGV Freiberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026VfR Mannheim(away)0-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026FC 08 Homburg(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)5-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026Hoffenheim II(home)1-6Friendlies Clubs
Eintracht Trier
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026RB Leipzig(home)0-6DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026VfR Mannheim(away)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home)0-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 2, 2026Alemannia Aachen(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Ahrweiler(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SGV Freiberg win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Eintracht Trier win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 3, 2026SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht TrierRegionalliga - SudWest
Aug 23, 2025Eintracht Trier 1-4 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
Mar 29, 2025SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht TrierRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 21, 2024Eintracht Trier 2-0 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
Apr 22, 2023SGV Freiberg 2-1 Eintracht TrierRegionalliga - SudWest
Oct 15, 2022Eintracht Trier 1-1 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier on Mar 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Trier score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SGV Freiberg1.72.149/1513/15
Eintracht Trier1.31.556/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and Eintracht Trier sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2SGV Freiberg3210807
10Eintracht Trier2101223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier?
The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Eintracht Trier.
Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier played?
SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: SGV Freiberg and Eintracht Trier

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