Where and when is Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg played?

Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg is played on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Moselstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moselstadion, Trier

Eintracht Trier

SGV Freiberg

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Eintracht Trier. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg?

SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,029 vs 1,888).

Eintracht Trier win24 %

Draw23 %

SGV Freiberg win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eintracht Trier have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; SGV Freiberg have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Eintracht Trier
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	0-6	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	VfR Mannheim(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home)	0-1	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 2, 2026	Alemannia Aachen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Ahrweiler(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

SGV Freiberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	VfR Mannheim(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Kaiserslautern II(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	1-6	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Eintracht Trier win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 SGV Freiberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 3, 2026	SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht Trier	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 23, 2025	Eintracht Trier 1-4 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Mar 29, 2025	SGV Freiberg 1-0 Eintracht Trier	Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 21, 2024	Eintracht Trier 2-0 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Apr 22, 2023	SGV Freiberg 2-1 Eintracht Trier	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 15, 2022	Eintracht Trier 1-1 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: SGV Freiberg vs Eintracht Trier on Mar 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Eintracht Trier score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Eintracht Trier	1.3	1.5	5	6/15	9/15
SGV Freiberg	1.7	2.1	4	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Eintracht Trier sit 10th in Regionalliga - SudWest (3 points from 2 matches) and SGV Freiberg sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	SGV Freiberg	3	2	1	0	8	0	7
10	Eintracht Trier	2	1	0	1	2	2	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg?: The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Eintracht Trier.
Where and when is Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg played?: Eintracht Trier vs SGV Freiberg is played on May 15, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Moselstadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.