Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel played?

SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg

SGV Freiberg

Hessen Kassel

The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hessen Kassel. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate SGV Freiberg (2,029) and Hessen Kassel (1,946).

SGV Freiberg win49 %

Draw23 %

Hessen Kassel win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Hessen Kassel have 6, 1 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SGV Freiberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	VfR Mannheim(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 15, 2026	FC 08 Homburg(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Kaiserslautern II(away)	5-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Jul 18, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Hoffenheim II(home)	1-6	Friendlies Clubs

Hessen Kassel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Freiburg II(away)	1-5	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 8, 2026	Eintracht Frankfurt II(home)	3-0	Regionalliga - SudWest
Aug 1, 2026	FC Schalke 04(home)	0-5	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	SV Rodinghausen(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026	Lippstadt 08(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SGV Freiberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hessen Kassel win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 28, 2026	Hessen Kassel 1-1 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 27, 2025	SGV Freiberg 3-2 Hessen Kassel	Regionalliga - SudWest
Apr 12, 2025	Hessen Kassel 1-0 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 12, 2024	SGV Freiberg 1-0 Hessen Kassel	Regionalliga - SudWest
Apr 20, 2024	SGV Freiberg 1-1 Hessen Kassel	Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 14, 2023	Hessen Kassel 1-2 SGV Freiberg	Regionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SGV Freiberg score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SGV Freiberg	1.7	2.1	4	9/15	13/15
Hessen Kassel	1.7	2.1	3	8/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SGV Freiberg sit 2nd in Regionalliga - SudWest (7 points from 3 matches) and Hessen Kassel sit 12th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	SGV Freiberg	3	2	1	0	8	0	7
12	Hessen Kassel	2	1	0	1	4	5	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel?: The Footlab model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hessen Kassel.
Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel played?: SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.