Match

SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - SudWestSudwest - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Wasen-Stadion, Freiberg

SGV FreibergHessen Kassel

The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Hessen Kassel. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel?

SGV Freiberg starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,096 vs 1,954).

59%21%20%
SGV Freiberg winDrawHessen Kassel win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SGV Freiberg

Not enough data to predict the SGV Freiberg lineup.

Hessen Kassel

Not enough data to predict the Hessen Kassel lineup.

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:29 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SGV Freiberg have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Hessen Kassel have 5, 2 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SGV Freiberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Barockstadt Fulda-Lehn.(home)3-0Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 11, 2026Freiburg II(away)2-1Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 3, 2026TSV Steinbach(home)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 26, 2026Stuttgarter Kickers(home)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 19, 2026VfR Aalen(away)3-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Hessen Kassel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026VfR Mannheim(home)0-3Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 10, 2026Kaiserslautern II(away)3-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Oct 3, 2026SSV Ulm 1846(home)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 26, 2026FSV Mainz 05 II(home)1-2Regionalliga - SudWest
Sep 19, 2026FC 08 Homburg(away)2-2Regionalliga - SudWest

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 SGV Freiberg wins, 2 draws, 1 Hessen Kassel win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 28, 2026Hessen Kassel 1-1 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
Sep 27, 2025SGV Freiberg 3-2 Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest
Apr 12, 2025Hessen Kassel 1-0 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest
Oct 12, 2024SGV Freiberg 1-0 Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest
Apr 20, 2024SGV Freiberg 1-1 Hessen KasselRegionalliga - SudWest
Oct 14, 2023Hessen Kassel 1-2 SGV FreibergRegionalliga - SudWest

Last archived meeting: Hessen Kassel vs SGV Freiberg on Mar 28, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SGV Freiberg score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hessen Kassel score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SGV Freiberg2.41.768/1513/15
Hessen Kassel1.72.1110/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SGV Freiberg sit 1st in Regionalliga - SudWest (26 points from 12 matches) and Hessen Kassel sit 11th (14 points from 12 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1SGV Freiberg12750311226
11Hessen Kassel12426202414

A question about SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel?
The Footlab AI model makes SGV Freiberg the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for Hessen Kassel.
Where and when is SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel played?
SGV Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Wasen-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - SudWest.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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