El Bayadh vs ASM Oran: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Zakaria Medjdoub, El-Bayadh
The Footlab AI model makes ASM Oran the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for El Bayadh. The most likely score is 1-1. If ASM Oran wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Bayadh vs ASM Oran?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate El Bayadh (1,633) and ASM Oran (1,705).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for El Bayadh vs ASM Oran
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
El Bayadh
4-3-3- 19A. Barkat
- 22I. Yaiche
- 15M. Belkhadem
- 27I. Atallah
- 8M. Keniche
- 24D. Benyahia
- 14O. Yerou
- 20Z. Benabda
- 26B. Kouar
- 23A. Meddah
- 16M. Cherif
ASM Oran
4-3-3- YY. Belaribi
- RR. Hitala
- NN. El Habiri
- DD. Benrokia
- MM. Belaribi
- TT. Berramla
- AA. Blaha
- AA. Benchikh
- MMohamed El Amine Ali Larbi
- SS. Saci
- AA. Hannane
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 05:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Bayadh have 0 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats; ASM Oran have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Usm El Harrach(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | MC Saida(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hussein Dey(away) | 0-3 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | WA Tlemcen(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Koléa(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sidi Benali(home) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RC Kouba(away) | 0-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Taghit(home) | 6-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Tiaret(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | MC Saida(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 El Bayadh wins, 0 draws, 0 ASM Oran wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2022 | ASM Oran 0-3 El Bayadh | Ligue 2 |
| Dec 4, 2021 | El Bayadh 1-0 ASM Oran | Ligue 2 |
Last archived meeting: ASM Oran vs El Bayadh on Mar 19, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
El Bayadh score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ASM Oran score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Bayadh | 0.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| ASM Oran | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Bayadh sit 14th in Ligue 2 (3 points from 7 matches) and ASM Oran sit 5th (11 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | ASM Oran | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 14 | El Bayadh | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 3 |
A question about El Bayadh vs ASM Oran?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Bayadh vs ASM Oran?
- The Footlab AI model makes ASM Oran the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for El Bayadh.
- Where and when is El Bayadh vs ASM Oran played?
- El Bayadh vs ASM Oran is played on October 30, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Zakaria Medjdoub, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.