El Geish vs Al Ittihad: prediction and stats
League CupGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gehaz El Reyada Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab AI model makes Al Ittihad the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for El Geish. The most likely score is 1-1. If Al Ittihad wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,904 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Geish vs Al Ittihad?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate El Geish (1,776) and Al Ittihad (1,814).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for El Geish vs Al Ittihad
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
El Geish
4-3-3- 30Mohamed Atef
- 12Islam Mohareb
- 11Karim Tarek
- 25Ahmed Tarek
- 32Yehia Mostafa
- 22Mostafa Khawaga
- 4Mohamed Fathallah
- 24Z. Mohamed
- 8Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
- 21Khaled Abo Ziada
- 18Emad El Sayed
Al Ittihad
4-2-3-1- 10Hossam Hassan
- 23I. Saviour
- 8Mohamed Toni
- 14Mohamed Fakhry
- 22Nour Alaa
- 35Pascal Phiri
- 5Mostafa Ibrahim
- 24Momen Awad
- 30K. Mosaad
- 7Mohamed Mostafa Mido
- 1S. Soliman
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 09:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Geish have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Al Ittihad have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Olympic El Qanah(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Masr(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | El Gouna FC(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Wadi Degla(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 15, 2026 | AL Masry(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 El Geish win, 2 draws, 3 Al Ittihad wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2026 | Al Ittihad 1-0 El Geish | Premier League |
| Feb 6, 2026 | El Geish 0-1 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2025 | El Geish 1-2 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Al Ittihad 0-1 El Geish | Premier League |
| Jul 4, 2024 | El Geish 0-0 Al Ittihad | Premier League |
| Feb 14, 2024 | Al Ittihad 2-2 El Geish | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Al Ittihad vs El Geish on May 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
El Geish score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Al Ittihad score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Geish | 0.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Al Ittihad | 1.1 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about El Geish vs Al Ittihad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Geish vs Al Ittihad?
- The Footlab AI model makes Al Ittihad the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for El Geish.
- Where and when is El Geish vs Al Ittihad played?
- El Geish vs Al Ittihad is played on January 14, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gehaz El Reyada Stadium, in the League Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.