El Geish vs Asyut Petrol: prediction and stats
CupRound of 32Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Gehaz El Reyada Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab AI model makes El Geish the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Asyut Petrol. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,601 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?
On Elo ratings, El Geish has 1,780 points and Asyut Petrol 1,738.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for El Geish vs Asyut Petrol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
El Geish
4-1-4-1- 28I. Ouro-Agoro
- 30Mohamed Atef
- 12Islam Mohareb
- 11Karim Tarek
- 25Ahmed Tarek
- 22Mostafa Khawaga
- 4Mohamed Fathallah
- 8Ahmed Abdel Rahman Zola
- 21Khaled Abo Ziada
- 6Khaled Stouhi
- 1Omar Radwan
Asyut Petrol
4-3-3- 7Ahmed Younes
- 35C. C. Bodne
- 9M. Eid
- 19I. Abbas
- 18Mohamed Hesha
- 11Mostafa Sadafa
- 24Mahmoud Alaa
- 20A. Shokry
- 12Zeyad Tarek
- 6Ahmed Magdy
- 1Amgad Youssef
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 10:46 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Geish have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Asyut Petrol have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Masr(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Al Ittihad(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Pyramids FC(home) | 1-4 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | National Bank of Egypt(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Smouha SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Enppi(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 30, 2026 | El Gouna FC(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Zamalek SC(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Al Ahly(home) | 0-5 | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
El Geish score 0.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Asyut Petrol score 0.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Geish | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Asyut Petrol | 0.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Geish vs Asyut Petrol?
- The Footlab AI model makes El Geish the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 12% for Asyut Petrol.
- Where and when is El Geish vs Asyut Petrol played?
- El Geish vs Asyut Petrol is played on November 8, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Gehaz El Reyada Stadium, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.