El Mansura vs Haras El Hodood: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)al-Manṣūrah Stadium, El Mansoura
The Footlab model makes El Mansura the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Haras El Hodood. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win El Mansura vs Haras El Hodood?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate El Mansura (1,682) and Haras El Hodood (1,692).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Mansura have 4 wins, 9 draws and 2 defeats; Haras El Hodood have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Raya Ghazl(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Itesalat(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| May 29, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Petrojet(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 El Mansura win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Haras El Hodood win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2022 | El Mansura 0-2 Haras El Hodood | Second League - Group C |
| Nov 11, 2021 | Haras El Hodood 4-0 El Mansura | Second League - Group C |
Last archived meeting: El Mansura vs Haras El Hodood on Mar 9, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
El Mansura score 0.8 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Haras El Hodood score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Mansura | 0.8 | 0.6 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Haras El Hodood | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
El Mansura sit 4th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Haras El Hodood sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | El Mansura | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for El Mansura vs Haras El Hodood?
- The Footlab model makes El Mansura the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Haras El Hodood.
- Where and when is El Mansura vs Haras El Hodood played?
- El Mansura vs Haras El Hodood is played on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at al-Manṣūrah Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.