Match

Pharco vs Itesalat: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Haras El Hodoud Stadium, Alexandria

PharcoItesalat

The Footlab model makes Pharco the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Itesalat. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pharco vs Itesalat?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Pharco (1,709) and Itesalat (1,638).

Pharco win42 %
Draw32 %
Itesalat win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pharco have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Itesalat have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pharco
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Proxy(away)1-0Second League
May 28, 2026Ismaily SC(away)2-1Premier League
May 22, 2026National Bank of Egypt(home)0-1Premier League
May 18, 2026El Geish(away)0-1Premier League
May 12, 2026Future FC(home)0-1Premier League
Itesalat
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Haras El Hodood(away)0-2Second League
May 14, 2026Masar(away)0-3Second League
May 7, 2026El Seka El Hadid(home)0-0Second League
Apr 30, 2026El Entag EL Harby(away)0-3Second League
Apr 25, 2026Abu Qair Semad(home)1-1Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pharco win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Itesalat win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 13, 2026Itesalat 2-1 PharcoCup
May 10, 2023Pharco 1-0 ItesalatCup

Last archived meeting: Itesalat vs Pharco on Jan 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pharco score 0.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Itesalat score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pharco0.50.935/152/15
Itesalat0.71.526/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pharco sit 7th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Itesalat sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Pharco1100103
19Itesalat1001020

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pharco vs Itesalat?
The Footlab model makes Pharco the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Itesalat.
Where and when is Pharco vs Itesalat played?
Pharco vs Itesalat is played on October 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Haras El Hodoud Stadium, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pharco and Itesalat

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