El Nacional vs Aucas: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 5Kick-off on March 16, 2025 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Aucas?
Aucas won 0-1 on March 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 60′540952Aucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Aucas have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Manta FC(away) | 3-4 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Barcelona SC(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Barcelona SC(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Macara(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Universidad Catolica(away) | 0-0 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Cuniburo(home) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 El Nacional win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Aucas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2024 | El Nacional 0-0 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Aucas 3-4 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Aug 5, 2023 | El Nacional 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Aucas 0-2 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Dec 9, 2020 | El Nacional 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
| Aug 19, 2020 | Aucas 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 1.5 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Aucas | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy