El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle: result 1-3 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 8Kick-off on April 14, 2025 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
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What was the result of El Nacional vs Independiente del Valle?
Independiente del Valle won 1-3 on April 14, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′M. HoyosIndependiente del Valle
- 23′A. RodríguezIndependiente del Valle
- 26′A. CelaEl Nacional
- 32′J. ArroyoIndependiente del Valle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, El Nacional have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Independiente del Valle have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Libertad(away) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Orense SC(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Universitario(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Aucas(home) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Manta FC(away) | 3-4 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025 | Universitario(home) | 1-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 4-0 | Liga Pro |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Barcelona SC(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Aucas(away) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Macara(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 El Nacional win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Independiente del Valle win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 0-1 El Nacional | Copa Ecuador |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Independiente del Valle 2-0 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| May 12, 2024 | El Nacional 1-2 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Dec 2, 2023 | El Nacional 2-1 Independiente del Valle | Liga Pro |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Independiente del Valle 3-4 El Nacional | Liga Pro |
| Oct 7, 2022 | El Nacional 0-2 Independiente del Valle | Copa Ecuador |
Last archived meeting: Independiente del Valle vs El Nacional on Nov 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
El Nacional score 1.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente del Valle score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Nacional | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Independiente del Valle | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 26 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 64 | 26 | 67 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy