Emelec vs Libertad: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 8Kick-off on April 12, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
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What was the result of Emelec vs Libertad?
Emelec and Libertad drew 1-1 on April 12, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′J. QuiñonezEmelec
- 62′Diego Francisco Ávila MurilloLibertad
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Libertad have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Manta FC(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 16, 2025 | LDU de Quito(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Cuniburo(away) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Macara(home) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | El Nacional(home) | 1-3 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Manta FC(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Orense SC(home) | 4-1 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Barcelona SC(home) | 1-4 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Emelec win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Libertad win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | Libertad 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Emelec 0-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Libertad 0-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Feb 27, 2023 | Emelec 2-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 0.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Libertad score 1.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Libertad | 1.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 13th in Liga Pro (29 points from 25 matches) and Libertad sit 8th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Libertad | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 34 |
| 13 | Emelec | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 29 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy