Match

Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 28Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ

ElazığsporErbaaspor

The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor?

Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 280-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,611).

Elazığspor win71 %
Draw17 %
Erbaaspor win11 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Erbaaspor have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Elazığspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
May 4, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Adana 01 FK(away)4-22. Lig
Apr 25, 202624 Erzincanspor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 19, 2026İskenderunspor(away)1-02. Lig
Erbaaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)1-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Ankaragücü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Elazığspor(away)0-32. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)0-22. Lig
Apr 4, 202624 Erzincanspor(away)2-32. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Elazığspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Erbaaspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Elazığspor 3-0 Erbaaspor2. Lig
Dec 17, 2025Erbaaspor 0-4 Elazığspor2. Lig
Mar 9, 2025Elazığspor 3-1 Erbaaspor2. Lig
Oct 26, 2024Erbaaspor 1-1 Elazığspor2. Lig
Mar 27, 2022Elazığspor 2-2 Erbaaspor3. Lig - Group 1
Nov 7, 2021Erbaaspor 3-0 Elazığspor3. Lig - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Elazığspor2.30.787/159/15
Erbaaspor0.91.539/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Elazığspor sit 3rd in 2. Lig (69 points from 36 matches) and Erbaaspor sit 15th (34 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Elazığspor362169823769
15Erbaaspor3610719406134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor?
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Erbaaspor.
Where and when is Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor played?
Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Elazığspor and Erbaaspor

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