Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 28Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, Elazığ
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor?
Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 280-point Elo edge (1,891 vs 1,611).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elazığspor have 12 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats; Erbaaspor have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankaragücü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(away) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Elazığspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Erbaaspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elazığspor 3-0 Erbaaspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 17, 2025 | Erbaaspor 0-4 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Elazığspor 3-1 Erbaaspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Erbaaspor 1-1 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
| Mar 27, 2022 | Elazığspor 2-2 Erbaaspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Erbaaspor 3-0 Elazığspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığspor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Erbaaspor | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elazığspor sit 3rd in 2. Lig (69 points from 36 matches) and Erbaaspor sit 15th (34 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82 | 37 | 69 |
| 15 | Erbaaspor | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 40 | 61 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor?
- The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 11% for Erbaaspor.
- Where and when is Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor played?
- Elazığspor vs Erbaaspor is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Elazığ Doğukent Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027Adana DemirsporvsSebat Gençlikspor
- Mar 20, 2027Hataysporvs68 Aksaray Belediyespor
- Mar 20, 2027ŞanlıurfasporvsKastamonuspor
- Mar 20, 2027Güzide GebzesporvsMuş Sport Klübü
- Mar 20, 2027Isparta 32 SporvsMenemen FK
- Mar 20, 2027Arnavutköy BelediyesporvsSomaspor
- Mar 20, 2027Aliağa FAŞvsAnkaraspor
- Mar 20, 2027Çorluspor 1947vsİnegöl Kafkas Gençlik