Match

Erbaaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 29Kick-off on March 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, Erbaa

ErbaasporŞanlıurfaspor

The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erbaaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?

Şanlıurfaspor starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,768 vs 1,611).

Erbaaspor win25 %
Draw25 %
Şanlıurfaspor win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbaaspor have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Şanlıurfaspor have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erbaaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)1-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Ankaragücü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Elazığspor(away)0-32. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)0-22. Lig
Apr 4, 202624 Erzincanspor(away)2-32. Lig
Şanlıurfaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 4, 2026Muğlaspor(away)1-12. Lig
Apr 30, 2026Muğlaspor(home)0-12. Lig
Apr 25, 2026Ankaraspor(home)2-12. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Muğlaspor(away)0-02. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Kastamonuspor(home)5-22. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Erbaaspor win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Şanlıurfaspor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 1, 2026Erbaaspor 0-0 Şanlıurfaspor2. Lig
Sep 21, 2025Şanlıurfaspor 2-2 Erbaaspor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Erbaaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Şanlıurfaspor score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erbaaspor0.91.539/157/15
Şanlıurfaspor1.51.5211/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erbaaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (34 points from 36 matches) and Şanlıurfaspor sit 5th (65 points from 36 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Şanlıurfaspor361989634365
15Erbaaspor3610719406134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erbaaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor?
The Footlab model makes Şanlıurfaspor the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for Erbaaspor.
Where and when is Erbaaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor played?
Erbaaspor vs Şanlıurfaspor is played on March 24, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Erbaaspor and Şanlıurfaspor

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