Elche vs Ponferradina: result 1-0 and analysis
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 28, 2019 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
Full time
What was the result of Elche vs Ponferradina?
Elche won 1-0 on September 28, 2019.
Goalscorers
- 4′Y. QasmiElche
Official lineup for Elche vs Ponferradina
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Elche
4-4-2- 11Pere Milla
- 9Y. Qasmi
- 7Nino
- 8Gonzalo Villar
- 17Josan
- 4Ramón Folch
- 27Óscar Gil
- 12Dani Calvo
- 5Gonzalo Verdú
- 23Juan Cruz
- 13Edgar Badia
Ponferradina
4-2-3-1- 18Asier Benito
- 7Isi Palazón
- 20Pablo Valcarce
- 8Pablo Larrea
- 15Nacho Gil
- 6Óscar Sielva
- 28M. Villa
- 22F. Russo
- 2Son
- 5F. Noguera
- 13Manu García
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Ponferradina have 2, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2019 | Numancia(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2019 | Tenerife(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 15, 2019 | Oviedo(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 8, 2019 | Lugo(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 30, 2019 | Zaragoza(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2019 | Oviedo(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 18, 2019 | Lugo(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 14, 2019 | Alcorcon(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 7, 2019 | Fuenlabrada(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Tenerife(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Elche score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ponferradina score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Ponferradina | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1 | 6/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy