Match

CD Coria vs Ponferradina: prediction and stats

Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Isla, Coria

CD CoriaPonferradina

The Footlab model makes CD Coria the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Ponferradina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CD Coria vs Ponferradina?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate CD Coria (1,956) and Ponferradina (1,968).

CD Coria win43 %
Draw29 %
Ponferradina win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Coria have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Ponferradina have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CD Coria
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Extremadura 1924(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 11, 2026Unionistas de Salamanca(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Valladolid(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
May 31, 2026Real Oviedo II(away)1-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 24, 2026Real Oviedo II(home)3-0Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
Ponferradina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Real Madrid II(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Marino de Luanco(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Real Avilés(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Oviedo(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Jun 20, 2026Celta de Vigo II(away)1-4Primera División RFEF - Play Offs

How many goals should we expect?

CD Coria score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ponferradina score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CD Coria1.91.186/1510/15
Ponferradina1.11.376/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Ponferradina3817912433360

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CD Coria vs Ponferradina?
The Footlab model makes CD Coria the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Ponferradina.
Where and when is CD Coria vs Ponferradina played?
CD Coria vs Ponferradina is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Isla, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: CD Coria and Ponferradina

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