CD Coria vs Ponferradina: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 1Group 1 - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Isla, Coria
The Footlab AI model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for CD Coria. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ponferradina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,796 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CD Coria vs Ponferradina?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate CD Coria (1,930) and Ponferradina (1,978).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CD Coria vs Ponferradina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CD Coria
4-3-3- 17Álex Blanco
- 9P. Palacin
- 7Iván Ramos
- 18J. Gallastegi
- 8Edu Llorente
- 10S. Gomez
- 3Jacobo Guzmán
- 23A. Dominguez
- 22B. Núñez
- 20Iñaki León
- 1Aarón Rodríguez
Ponferradina
4-3-3- 7C. Calderon
- 10Borja Valle
- 11Quicala Bari
- 6Fede San Emeterio
- 8Arturo Molina
- 15O. Vacas
- 3Sergio Nieto
- 4A. Jelbat
- 24Koke
- 2David Andújar
- 1Álex Domínguez
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 06:38 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CD Coria have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Ponferradina have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Athletic Club II(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 2-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cultural Leonesa(away) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Real Avilés(home) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mirandes(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pontevedra(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mérida AD(home) | 1-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
CD Coria score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ponferradina score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CD Coria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Ponferradina | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CD Coria sit 17th in Primera División RFEF - Group 1 (8 points from 8 matches) and Ponferradina sit 8th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ponferradina | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 17 | CD Coria | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 8 |
A question about CD Coria vs Ponferradina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CD Coria vs Ponferradina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ponferradina the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for CD Coria.
- Where and when is CD Coria vs Ponferradina played?
- CD Coria vs Ponferradina is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Isla, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026LugovsUD Ourense
- Nov 29, 2026UD LogroñésvsBarakaldo
- Nov 29, 2026Unionistas de SalamancavsDeportivo La Coruña II
- Nov 29, 2026Racing FerrolvsMérida AD
- Nov 29, 2026ZamoravsPontevedra
- Nov 29, 2026Athletic Club IIvsCultural Leonesa
- Nov 29, 2026Real UniónvsArenas Getxo
- Nov 29, 2026Real AvilésvsMirandes