Eldense B vs Villarreal III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 6Group 6 - 30Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Eldense B the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Villarreal III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eldense B vs Villarreal III?
Villarreal III starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,741).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 1 matches in all competitions, Eldense B have 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Villarreal III have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 17, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 9, 2026 | Torrellano(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 2, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Atzeneta(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Eldense B score 0.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 1; Villarreal III score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense B | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/1 |
| Villarreal III | 1.9 | 1.0 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 1 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal III | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 64 | 36 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eldense B vs Villarreal III?
- The Footlab model makes Eldense B the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Villarreal III.
- Where and when is Eldense B vs Villarreal III played?
- Eldense B vs Villarreal III is played on April 11, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.