Elva vs Tartu Welco: result 1-2 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 22Kick-off on August 4, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elva linnastaadion, Elva
Full time
What was the result of Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Tartu Welco won 1-2 on August 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′M. MugraTartu Welco
- 39′R. ReesarElva (o.g.)
- 62′M. MagiTartu Welco
Official lineup for Elva vs Tartu Welco
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Elva
- 18K. Põldsaar
- 26A. Okoro
- 7A. Paju
- 13J. Kanter
- 15R. Jaagant
- 23R. Lindmäe
- 25N. Karasjov
- 6V. Kütt
- 16M. Thomson
- 36E. Ilves
- 77S. Rebane
Tartu Welco
- 20M. Mugra
- 16A. Songisepp
- 40S. Viira
- 10S. Bawa
- 34T. Saareleht
- 88Manucho
- 3J. Paul
- 5R. Reesar
- 6R. Kala
- 33T. Teniste
- 22M. Agarmaa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elva have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Tartu Welco have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | Legion(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Luunja(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Viimsi(home) | 0-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Flora II(away) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II(home) | 5-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2025 | Nõmme United(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Viimsi(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 12, 2025 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 5, 2025 | FC Tallinn(away) | 5-1 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Elva wins, 2 draws, 1 Tartu Welco win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2025 | Tartu Welco 2-5 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Elva 3-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Elva 0-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Elva | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Elva 1-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
How many goals should we expect?
Elva score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tartu Welco score 3.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elva | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Tartu Welco | 3.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elva sit 5th in Esiliiga A (52 points from 35 matches) and Tartu Welco sit 1st (77 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 101 | 45 | 77 |
| 5 | Elva | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 50 | 51 | 52 |
A question about Elva vs Tartu Welco?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy