Elverum vs Bjørkelangen: prediction and stats
3. Division - Girone 6Regular Season - 22Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Elverum Stadion, Elverum
The Footlab model makes Elverum the favourite at 91%, against 6% for a draw and 3% for Bjørkelangen. The most likely score is 4-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elverum vs Bjørkelangen?
Elverum is a heavy favourite: 1,820 Elo points against 1,414, a 406-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elverum have 11 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Bjørkelangen have 1, 0 and 14.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ull/Kisa(home) | 7-6 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oppsal(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ørn Horten(home) | 1-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fram(away) | 3-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sandefjord II(home) | 5-3 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sandefjord II(away) | 1-4 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oppsal(home) | 0-1 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Råde(away) | 1-8 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fram(home) | 0-2 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 II(home) | 2-0 | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Elverum win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bjørkelangen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Bjørkelangen 0-5 Elverum | 3. Division - Girone 6 |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Bjørkelangen 2-2 Elverum | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Elverum 5-0 Bjørkelangen | 3. Division - Girone 3 |
Last archived meeting: Bjørkelangen vs Elverum on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Elverum score 2.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bjørkelangen score 0.7 and concede 3.6. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elverum | 2.9 | 1.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
| Bjørkelangen | 0.7 | 3.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elverum sit 2nd in 3. Division - Girone 6 (34 points from 16 matches) and Bjørkelangen sit 14th (3 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Elverum | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 42 | 23 | 34 |
| 14 | Bjørkelangen | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 56 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elverum vs Bjørkelangen?
- The Footlab model makes Elverum the favourite at 91%, against 6% for a draw and 3% for Bjørkelangen.
- Where and when is Elverum vs Bjørkelangen played?
- Elverum vs Bjørkelangen is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Elverum Stadion, in the 3. Division - Girone 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.