Emelec vs Libertad: result 1-2 and analysis
Liga ProPlacement Group - 1Kick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio George Capwell, Guayaquil
Full time
What was the result of Emelec vs Libertad?
Libertad won 1-2 on September 20, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 23′Reixon SayaEmelec
- 61′J. BravoLibertad
- 90′B. CaicedoLibertad
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Emelec win at 58%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Emelec vs Libertad
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Emelec
4-1-3-2- 59Reixon Saya
- 11S. Arce
- 19J. Ruíz
- 21J. Cevallos
- 5A. Mina
- 32J. Valverde
- 4E. Segura
- 2A. Leguizamón
- 27F. León
- 80O. Herrera
- 12P. Ortíz
Libertad
5-4-1- 33A. Chére
- 10G. Cortéz
- 80X. Pineda
- 63C. Valencia
- 70Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
- 20J. Rodríguez
- 19O. Quiñónez
- 2R. Morinigo
- 6B. Caicedo
- 17E. Patta
- 12D. Cabezas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Emelec have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Libertad have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Macara(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Manta FC(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Libertad(away) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Leones del Norte(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 24, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 2-3 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Deportivo Cuenca(away) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Emelec(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Macara(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Emelec win, 4 draws, 1 Libertad win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2026 | Libertad 1-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| May 10, 2026 | Emelec 1-1 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Libertad 1-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Emelec 1-1 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Libertad 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Emelec 0-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Emelec score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Libertad score 1.2 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Libertad | 1.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Emelec sit 10th in Liga Pro (42 points from 35 matches) and Libertad sit 7th (51 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 39 | 51 |
| 10 | Emelec | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 43 | 42 |
A question about Emelec vs Libertad?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy