Libertad vs Emelec: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga ProRegular Season - 28Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja
Full time
What was the result of Libertad vs Emelec?
Libertad and Emelec drew 1-1 on September 4, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 45′C. ValenciaLibertad
- 61′J. CevallosEmelec
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Libertad win at 37%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Libertad vs Emelec
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Libertad
5-4-1- 33A. Chére
- 49D. Coronel
- 80X. Pineda
- 63C. Valencia
- 70Vilinton Germán Branda Merlín
- 20J. Rodríguez
- 19O. Quiñónez
- 2R. Morinigo
- 6B. Caicedo
- 17E. Patta
- 12D. Cabezas
Emelec
4-4-1-1- 9R. Carrillo
- 10F. Pizzini
- 19J. Ruíz
- 32J. Valverde
- 5A. Mina
- 15Luis Fragozo
- 30Madison Ariel Mina Ibarra
- 2A. Leguizamón
- 27F. León
- 13Luis Fernando Gómez Angulo
- 1Mario Alfredo Valero Sánchez
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Libertad have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Emelec have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Aucas(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Macara(home) | 1-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 2-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Universidad Catolica(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Orense SC(home) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Leones del Norte(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 24, 2026 | LDU de Quito(away) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tecnico Universitario(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Guayaquil City FC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Aucas(home) | 0-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Libertad win, 4 draws, 1 Emelec win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Emelec 1-1 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Libertad 1-2 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Emelec 1-1 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Libertad 2-1 Emelec | Liga Pro |
| Jun 1, 2024 | Emelec 0-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Libertad 0-0 Emelec | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Libertad score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Emelec score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Emelec | 0.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Libertad sit 7th in Liga Pro (51 points from 35 matches) and Emelec sit 10th (42 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Libertad | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 43 | 39 | 51 |
| 10 | Emelec | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 31 | 43 | 42 |
A question about Libertad vs Emelec?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy