Empoli vs Virtus Entella: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli
The Footlab model makes Empoli the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Virtus Entella. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Empoli vs Virtus Entella?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Empoli (1,824) and Virtus Entella (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Empoli have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Virtus Entella have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cremonese(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Novara(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Empoli win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Virtus Entella win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli 1-0 Virtus Entella | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Empoli 1-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Virtus Entella 1-0 Empoli | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Empoli 1-2 Virtus Entella | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Empoli 1-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Virtus Entella 2-5 Empoli | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Empoli vs Virtus Entella on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Empoli score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Entella score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 1.2 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Virtus Entella | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Empoli sit 9th in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Virtus Entella sit 19th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Empoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Virtus Entella | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Empoli vs Virtus Entella?
- The Footlab model makes Empoli the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Virtus Entella.
- Where and when is Empoli vs Virtus Entella played?
- Empoli vs Virtus Entella is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.