Empoli vs Virtus Entella: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli
The Footlab AI model makes Empoli the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Virtus Entella. The most likely score is 1-1. If Empoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Empoli vs Virtus Entella?
A very open match: only 34 Elo points separate Empoli (1,741) and Virtus Entella (1,775).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Empoli vs Virtus Entella
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Empoli
3-5-2- 10E. Saporiti
- 11S. Shpendi
- 8L. Magnino
- 91N. Corrado
- 15J. Ceesay
- 39E. Biondini
- 21Gerard Yepes
- 33C. Cauz
- 25M. Curto
- 6S. Romagnoli
- 12J. Seghetti
Virtus Entella
3-5-2- 11Bernat Guiu
- 10L. Cuppone
- 24A. Franzoni
- 5N. Squizzato
- 8L. Vignali
- 80L. Benedetti
- 26Z. Menyhárt
- 23L. Parodi
- 27M. Alborghetti
- 6A. Tiritiello
- 22F. Del Frate
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:48 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Empoli have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Virtus Entella have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 2-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Empoli wins, 1 draw, 2 Virtus Entella wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli 1-0 Virtus Entella | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Empoli 1-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Virtus Entella 1-0 Empoli | Serie B |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Empoli 1-2 Virtus Entella | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 20, 2021 | Empoli 1-0 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Dec 12, 2020 | Virtus Entella 2-5 Empoli | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Empoli vs Virtus Entella on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Empoli score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Empoli sit 13th in Serie B (6 points from 6 matches) and Virtus Entella sit 14th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Empoli vs Virtus Entella?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Empoli vs Virtus Entella?
- The Footlab AI model makes Empoli the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Virtus Entella.
- Where and when is Empoli vs Virtus Entella played?
- Empoli vs Virtus Entella is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.