Sampdoria vs Carrarese: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
The Footlab AI model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Carrarese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sampdoria wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,533 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sampdoria vs Carrarese?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Sampdoria (1,819) and Carrarese (1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sampdoria vs Carrarese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sampdoria
4-3-2-1- 9T. Lauritsen
- 6L. Henderson
- 45A. Makoumbou
- 16Y. Verschaeren
- 28O. Abildgaard
- 11T. Begić
- 15F. Delli Carri
- 7M. Cicconi
- 29A. Di Pardo
- 3S. Gartenmann
- 12Andrey Krastev
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 23M. Braunöder
- 17L. Topalović
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sampdoria have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Carrarese have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Avellino(away) | 1-4 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 0-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Sampdoria win, 1 draw, 2 Carrarese wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | Carrarese 2-0 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Sampdoria 3-2 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Carrarese 1-0 Sampdoria | Serie B |
| Dec 26, 2024 | Sampdoria 1-1 Carrarese | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Carrarese vs Sampdoria on Mar 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sampdoria score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sampdoria sit 19th in Serie B (8 points from 10 matches) and Carrarese sit 15th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 8 |
A question about Sampdoria vs Carrarese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sampdoria vs Carrarese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sampdoria the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Carrarese.
- Where and when is Sampdoria vs Carrarese played?
- Sampdoria vs Carrarese is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.