Hellas Verona vs Padova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
The Footlab AI model makes Hellas Verona the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hellas Verona wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,382 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hellas Verona vs Padova?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Hellas Verona (1,811) and Padova (1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hellas Verona vs Padova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hellas Verona
4-4-2- 25D. Mosquera
- 14D. Livramento
- 9A. Sarr
- 17A. Le Borgne
- 44E. Iannoni
- 23N. Lella
- 4G. Zappa
- 27P. Dawidowicz
- 71D. De Battisti
- 5A. Edmundsson
- 34S. Perilli
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hellas Verona have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Padova have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Modena(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 5-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Hellas Verona wins, 2 draws, 1 Padova win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Padova 1-1 Hellas Verona | Serie B |
| Jan 20, 2019 | Padova 3-0 Hellas Verona | Serie B |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Hellas Verona 1-1 Padova | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Padova vs Hellas Verona on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hellas Verona score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hellas Verona sit 9th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Padova sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 7 |
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Hellas Verona vs Padova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hellas Verona vs Padova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hellas Verona the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Padova.
- Where and when is Hellas Verona vs Padova played?
- Hellas Verona vs Padova is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.