Hellas Verona vs Padova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 34Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, Verona
The Footlab model makes Hellas Verona the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hellas Verona vs Padova?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Hellas Verona (1,823) and Padova (1,835).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hellas Verona have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Padova have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Monza(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hellas Verona win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Padova win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2019 | Padova 3-0 Hellas Verona | Serie B |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Hellas Verona 1-1 Padova | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Padova vs Hellas Verona on Jan 20, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Hellas Verona score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Padova score 1.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hellas Verona | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Padova | 1.1 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hellas Verona sit 16th in Serie B (0 points from 1 matches) and Padova sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Padova | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Hellas Verona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hellas Verona vs Padova?
- The Footlab model makes Hellas Verona the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Padova.
- Where and when is Hellas Verona vs Padova played?
- Hellas Verona vs Padova is played on April 17, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.