Empor Glauchau vs SC Freital: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 22Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Meeraner, Glauchau
The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Empor Glauchau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Empor Glauchau vs SC Freital?
SC Freital starts as the favourite with a 127-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,673).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Empor Glauchau have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; SC Freital have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | ZFC Meuselwitz(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Einheit Wernigerode(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Heiligenstadt(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Empor Glauchau win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 SC Freital win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Empor Glauchau 1-4 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 30, 2025 | SC Freital 2-0 Empor Glauchau | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: Empor Glauchau vs SC Freital on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Empor Glauchau score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freital score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empor Glauchau | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| SC Freital | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Empor Glauchau sit 16th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (0 points from 2 matches) and SC Freital sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SC Freital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 | Empor Glauchau | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Empor Glauchau vs SC Freital?
- The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Empor Glauchau.
- Where and when is Empor Glauchau vs SC Freital played?
- Empor Glauchau vs SC Freital is played on March 21, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Meeraner, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.