SC Freital vs Krieschow: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-SüdNOFV- Sud - 23Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens, Freital
The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Krieschow. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Freital vs Krieschow?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate SC Freital (1,800) and Krieschow (1,734).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freital have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Krieschow have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Frankfurt(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Dresden II(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 30, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 17, 2026 | Auerbach(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 10, 2026 | Germania Halberstadt(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(home) | 0-9 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ZFC Meuselwitz(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Sandersdorf(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Altglienicke(home) | 0-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SC Freital win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Krieschow win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | SC Freital 2-1 Krieschow | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Krieschow 2-2 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| May 4, 2025 | SC Freital 1-0 Krieschow | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Krieschow 1-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Apr 14, 2024 | SC Freital 3-1 Krieschow | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Krieschow 0-1 SC Freital | Oberliga - Nordost-Süd |
Last archived meeting: SC Freital vs Krieschow on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Freital score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Krieschow score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freital | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Krieschow | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Freital sit 5th in Oberliga - Nordost-Süd (3 points from 2 matches) and Krieschow sit 14th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SC Freital | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 14 | Krieschow | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Freital vs Krieschow?
- The Footlab model makes SC Freital the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Krieschow.
- Where and when is SC Freital vs Krieschow played?
- SC Freital vs Krieschow is played on April 4, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at WGF-Arena Stadion des Friedens, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Süd.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.