Enna vs Licata: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Generale Gaeta, Enna
The Footlab model makes Enna the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Licata. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Enna vs Licata?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Enna (1,678) and Licata (1,581).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Enna have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Licata have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | CastrumFavara(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Nissa(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Reggina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Sambiase(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | CastrumFavara(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 4, 2025 | Nissa(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Pompei(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Sambiase(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Paternò(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Enna win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Licata win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2025 | Licata 1-0 Enna | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Enna 2-1 Licata | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Enna score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Licata score 0.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enna | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Licata | 0.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50 | 53 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Enna vs Licata?
- The Footlab model makes Enna the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Licata.
- Where and when is Enna vs Licata played?
- Enna vs Licata is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Generale Gaeta, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.