Nissa vs Vibonese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Tomaselli, Caltanissetta
The Footlab model makes Nissa the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Vibonese. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nissa vs Vibonese?
Nissa starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,844 vs 1,669).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nissa have 10 wins, 5 draws and 0 defeats; Vibonese have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Reggina(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 10, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 3, 2026 | Paternò(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sambiase(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Enna(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Acireale(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| May 3, 2026 | Acireale(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Gela(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Igea Virtus(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | AC Palermo(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Nissa win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Vibonese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Vibonese 0-1 Nissa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Nissa 1-1 Vibonese | Serie D - Girone I |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Vibonese 4-0 Nissa | Serie D - Girone I |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Nissa 1-1 Vibonese | Serie D - Girone I |
How many goals should we expect?
Nissa score 1.9 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vibonese score 0.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nissa | 1.9 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Vibonese | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nissa sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone I (67 points from 34 matches) and Vibonese sit 13th (35 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 67 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 47 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nissa vs Vibonese?
- The Footlab model makes Nissa the favourite at 68%, against 21% for a draw and 11% for Vibonese.
- Where and when is Nissa vs Vibonese played?
- Nissa vs Vibonese is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Tomaselli, in the Serie D - Girone I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.