Equatorial Guinea vs Malawi: result 1-0 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification AfricaGroup Stage - 4Kick-off on June 10, 2024 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Nuevo Estadio de Malabo, Malabo
Full time
What was the result of Equatorial Guinea vs Malawi?
Equatorial Guinea won 1-0 on June 10, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 81′Iban SalvadorEquatorial Guinea
Official lineup for Equatorial Guinea vs Malawi
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Equatorial Guinea
- 19Luís Asué
- 5Omar Mascarell
- 6Iban Salvador
- 14Pedro Obiang
- 17Josete Miranda
- 22Pablo Ganet
- 11Basilio Ndong
- 15Carlos Akapo
- 16Saúl Coco
- 21Esteban Obiang
- 1Jesús Owono
Malawi
- 19Lanjesi Nkhoma
- 6L. Aaron
- 8Chimwemwe Idana
- 10Chawanangwa Kaonga
- 3T. Mbalaka
- 9H. Kumwenda
- 13P. Mwaungulu
- 2S. Sanudi
- 5D. Chembezi
- 7N. Mwase
- 16G. Chikooka
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Equatorial Guinea have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Malawi have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2024 | Tunisia(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Cambodia(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Guinea(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Ivory Coast(home) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2024 | Sao Tome and Principe(home) | 3-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Mar 26, 2024 | Zambia(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Kenya(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Tunisia(home) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 17, 2023 | Liberia(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Equatorial Guinea score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Malawi score 0.9 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial Guinea | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Malawi | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Equatorial Guinea sit 5th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (11 points from 10 matches) and Malawi sit 4th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Malawi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 13 |
| 5 | Equatorial Guinea | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Equatorial Guinea vs Malawi?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy