Match

Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, Erbaa

ErbaasporArnavutköy Belediyespor

The Footlab model makes Arnavutköy Belediyespor the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?

A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Erbaaspor (1,600) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor (1,625).

Erbaaspor win32 %
Draw28 %
Arnavutköy Belediyespor win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbaaspor have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erbaaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)1-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Ankaragücü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Elazığspor(away)0-32. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)0-22. Lig
Apr 4, 202624 Erzincanspor(away)2-32. Lig
Arnavutköy Belediyespor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Isparta 32 Spor(home)2-02. Lig
Apr 18, 2026Adanaspor(away)1-02. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Muş Sport Klübü(away)1-22. Lig
Mar 28, 20261461 Trabzon FK(away)1-02. Lig
Mar 14, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(away)0-32. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Erbaaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Arnavutköy Belediyespor win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 26, 2025Erbaaspor 2-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor2. Lig
Nov 17, 2024Arnavutköy Belediyespor 2-1 Erbaaspor2. Lig
Feb 23, 2022Erbaaspor 0-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor3. Lig - Group 1
Sep 11, 2021Arnavutköy Belediyespor 1-0 Erbaaspor3. Lig - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor on Mar 26, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erbaaspor0.91.539/157/15
Arnavutköy Belediyespor0.71.074/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erbaaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (34 points from 36 matches) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Arnavutköy Belediyespor3413714403646
15Erbaaspor3610719406134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?
The Footlab model makes Arnavutköy Belediyespor the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Erbaaspor.
Where and when is Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor played?
Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Erbaaspor and Arnavutköy Belediyespor

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