Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, Erbaa
The Footlab model makes Arnavutköy Belediyespor the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Erbaaspor (1,600) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor (1,625).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbaaspor have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Arnavutköy Belediyespor have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away) | 1-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Ankaragücü(home) | 1-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elazığspor(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 0-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(away) | 2-3 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Isparta 32 Spor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Adanaspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Muş Sport Klübü(away) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1461 Trabzon FK(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Aliağa FAŞ(away) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Erbaaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Arnavutköy Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | Erbaaspor 2-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 2. Lig |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor 2-1 Erbaaspor | 2. Lig |
| Feb 23, 2022 | Erbaaspor 0-1 Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
| Sep 11, 2021 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor 1-0 Erbaaspor | 3. Lig - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor on Mar 26, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arnavutköy Belediyespor score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbaaspor | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erbaaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (34 points from 36 matches) and Arnavutköy Belediyespor sit 12th (46 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 36 | 46 |
| 15 | Erbaaspor | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 40 | 61 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Arnavutköy Belediyespor the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Erbaaspor.
- Where and when is Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor played?
- Erbaaspor vs Arnavutköy Belediyespor is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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