Match

Erbaaspor vs Menemen FK: prediction and stats

2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, Erbaa

ErbaasporMenemen FK

The Footlab model makes Menemen FK the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Erbaaspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Erbaaspor vs Menemen FK?

A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Erbaaspor (1,600) and Menemen FK (1,678).

Erbaaspor win31 %
Draw26 %
Menemen FK win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbaaspor have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Menemen FK have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Erbaaspor
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Beyoğlu Yeni Çarşı(away)1-32. Lig
Apr 19, 2026Ankaragücü(home)1-12. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Elazığspor(away)0-32. Lig
Apr 8, 2026Adana 01 FK(home)0-22. Lig
Apr 4, 202624 Erzincanspor(away)2-32. Lig
Menemen FK
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 20261461 Trabzon FK(away)5-42. Lig
Apr 12, 2026Aliağa FAŞ(away)0-52. Lig
Apr 4, 2026Somaspor(home)2-12. Lig
Mar 29, 2026Ankara Demirspor(away)0-22. Lig
Mar 25, 2026Mardin 1969(home)1-32. Lig

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Erbaaspor win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Menemen FK win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 16, 2025Erbaaspor 0-1 Menemen FK2. Lig
Nov 3, 2024Menemen FK 2-0 Erbaaspor2. Lig

Last archived meeting: Erbaaspor vs Menemen FK on Mar 16, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Erbaaspor score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Menemen FK score 1.2 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Erbaaspor0.91.539/157/15
Menemen FK1.22.138/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Erbaaspor sit 15th in 2. Lig (34 points from 36 matches) and Menemen FK sit 8th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Menemen FK3415613575151
15Erbaaspor3610719406134

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Erbaaspor vs Menemen FK?
The Footlab model makes Menemen FK the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Erbaaspor.
Where and when is Erbaaspor vs Menemen FK played?
Erbaaspor vs Menemen FK is played on November 29, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Erbaa İlçe Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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