Kastamonuspor vs Elazığspor: prediction and stats
2. Lig2. Lig White Group - 9Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, Kastamonu
The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Kastamonuspor. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kastamonuspor vs Elazığspor?
Elazığspor starts as the favourite with a 228-point Elo edge (1,881 vs 1,653).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kastamonuspor have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Elazığspor have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Muğlaspor(home) | 0-3 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Şanlıurfaspor(away) | 2-5 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Karaman FK(home) | 2-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Karacabey Belediyespor(away) | 0-4 | 2. Lig |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Batman Petrolspor(home) | 1-2 | 2. Lig |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muğlaspor(away) | 0-0 | 2. Lig |
| May 4, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(home) | 2-1 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Adana 01 FK(away) | 4-2 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2026 | 24 Erzincanspor(home) | 2-0 | 2. Lig |
| Apr 19, 2026 | İskenderunspor(away) | 1-0 | 2. Lig |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kastamonuspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Elazığspor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Kastamonuspor 0-0 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Elazığspor 1-2 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Kastamonuspor 2-0 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
| Oct 20, 2020 | Elazığspor 3-2 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
| Apr 25, 2020 | Kastamonuspor 3-0 Elazığspor | 2. Lig |
| Dec 15, 2019 | Elazığspor 0-2 Kastamonuspor | 2. Lig |
Last archived meeting: Kastamonuspor vs Elazığspor on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kastamonuspor score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Elazığspor score 2.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kastamonuspor | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Elazığspor | 2.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kastamonuspor sit 12th in 2. Lig (42 points from 36 matches) and Elazığspor sit 3rd (69 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Elazığspor | 36 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 82 | 37 | 69 |
| 12 | Kastamonuspor | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 56 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kastamonuspor vs Elazığspor?
- The Footlab model makes Elazığspor the favourite at 71%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Kastamonuspor.
- Where and when is Kastamonuspor vs Elazığspor played?
- Kastamonuspor vs Elazığspor is played on November 1, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kastamonu Gazi Stadyumu, in the 2. Lig.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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