Erbil vs Al-Karma: result 1-2 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 14, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
Full time
What was the result of Erbil vs Al-Karma?
Al-Karma won 1-2 on September 14, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 6′S. AmadiAl-Karma
- 38′Amouri EidanAl-Karma
- 61′665080Erbil
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Erbil win at 36%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; Al-Karma have 6, 8 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Al Shorta(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Al Minaa Basra(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | Al Karkh(away) | 1-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Naft(home) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Diyala(away) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Karbala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Al Kahrabaa(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Shorta(home) | 2-1 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Erbil wins, 1 draw, 1 Al-Karma win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Al-Karma 2-3 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Erbil 2-1 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Al-Karma 1-0 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Erbil 1-1 Al-Karma | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Al-Karma score 1.3 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.7 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Al-Karma | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erbil sit 4th in Iraqi League (18 points from 9 matches) and Al-Karma sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Karma | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
| 4 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 18 |
A question about Erbil vs Al-Karma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy