Erbil vs Karbala: result 3-1 and analysis
Iraqi LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 23, 2025 at 04:30 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
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What was the result of Erbil vs Karbala?
Erbil won 3-1 on January 23, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 18′Aws MohammadKarbala
- 36′Osama RashidErbil
- 42′Y. Ben SoudaErbil
- 90′Sherko KareemErbil
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Karbala have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | Al Karkh(away) | 4-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 15, 2025 | Al Talaba(away) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 10, 2025 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Al Shorta(away) | 1-4 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 11, 2024 | Al Kahrabaa(home) | 4-3 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Al Shorta(home) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Al-Qasim(away) | 0-1 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 7, 2025 | Duhok(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Jan 2, 2025 | Al-Karma(away) | 0-0 | Iraqi League |
| Dec 10, 2024 | Al Zawra'a(home) | 1-3 | Iraqi League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Erbil win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Karbala win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2024 | Erbil 4-1 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Karbala 3-5 Erbil | Iraqi League |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Erbil 1-0 Karbala | Iraqi League |
| Oct 10, 2022 | Karbala 2-1 Erbil | Iraqi League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Karbala score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Karbala | 0.7 | 1.2 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erbil sit 1st in Iraqi League (4 points from 2 matches) and Karbala sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erbil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Karbala | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy