Erbil vs Kazma: prediction and stats
AGCFF Gulf Champions LeagueGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Franso Hariri Stadium, Erbil
The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Kazma. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erbil vs Kazma?
On Elo ratings, Erbil has 1,676 points and Kazma 1,601.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Erbil vs Kazma
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Erbil
Not enough data to predict the Erbil lineup.
Kazma
Not enough data to predict the Kazma lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:16 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erbil have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Kazma have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Ajman(away) | 4-5 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Naft Maysan(away) | 1-1 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Karbala(away) | 3-0 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Al-Karma(home) | 1-2 | Iraqi League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Diyala(home) | 2-0 | Iraqi League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Al-Ettifaq(away) | 0-2 | AGCFF Gulf Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Al Arabi(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Al Shabab(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Al Sahel(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Al Tadhamon(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Erbil score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kazma score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erbil | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Kazma | 1.5 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Erbil vs Kazma?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erbil vs Kazma?
- The Footlab AI model makes Erbil the favourite at 61%, against 23% for a draw and 16% for Kazma.
- Where and when is Erbil vs Kazma played?
- Erbil vs Kazma is played on November 4, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Franso Hariri Stadium, in the AGCFF Gulf Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.