Érdi VSE vs Budafoki LC: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Novák Ferenc Érdi Sportközpont, Érd
The Footlab model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Budafoki LC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Érdi VSE vs Budafoki LC?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Érdi VSE (1,497) and Budafoki LC (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Érdi VSE have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Budafoki LC have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 2-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 17, 2026 | Fehérvár FC(away) | 3-1 | NB II |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Érdi VSE win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Budafoki LC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2017 | Budafoki LC 2-0 Érdi VSE | Magyar Kupa |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Érdi VSE 2-1 Budafoki LC | Magyar Kupa |
Last archived meeting: Budafoki LC vs Érdi VSE on Mar 1, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Érdi VSE score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Budafoki LC score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Érdi VSE | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Budafoki LC | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Érdi VSE sit 9th in NB III - Southwest (5 points from 3 matches) and Budafoki LC sit 5th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Budafoki LC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | Érdi VSE | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Érdi VSE vs Budafoki LC?
- The Footlab model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 39%, against 24% for a draw and 37% for Budafoki LC.
- Where and when is Érdi VSE vs Budafoki LC played?
- Érdi VSE vs Budafoki LC is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Novák Ferenc Érdi Sportközpont, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.