Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab model makes Paksi SE II the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate Paksi SE II (1,372) and Sárbogárd (1,310).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paksi SE II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sárbogárd have 3, 0 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 2-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 0-6 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Paksi SE II win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Sárbogárd win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | Sárbogárd 1-3 Paksi SE II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sárbogárd vs Paksi SE II on Feb 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paksi SE II score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sárbogárd score 1.1 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paksi SE II | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Sárbogárd | 1.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/14 | 12/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paksi SE II sit 13th in NB III - Southwest (2 points from 4 matches) and Sárbogárd sit 15th (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 15 | Sárbogárd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd?
- The Footlab model makes Paksi SE II the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd played?
- Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.