Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab AI model makes Paksi SE II the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Sárbogárd. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd?
Paksi SE II starts as the favourite with a 158-point Elo edge (1,480 vs 1,321).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paksi SE II
Not enough data to predict the Paksi SE II lineup.
Sárbogárd
Not enough data to predict the Sárbogárd lineup.
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paksi SE II have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sárbogárd have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(home) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sárbogárd(away) | 6-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 8-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 31, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Paksi SE II(home) | 0-6 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 0-7 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Paksi SE II wins, 0 draws, 0 Sárbogárd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sárbogárd 0-6 Paksi SE II | NB III - Southwest |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Sárbogárd 1-3 Paksi SE II | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Sárbogárd vs Paksi SE II on Oct 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paksi SE II score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sárbogárd score 0.7 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paksi SE II | 2.1 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Sárbogárd | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paksi SE II sit 12th in NB III - Southwest (16 points from 14 matches) and Sárbogárd sit 14th (5 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Paksi SE II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 24 | 16 |
| 14 | Sárbogárd | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 5 |
A question about Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Paksi SE II the favourite at 74%, against 15% for a draw and 11% for Sárbogárd.
- Where and when is Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd played?
- Paksi SE II vs Sárbogárd is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.