Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rákóczi Stadion, Kaposvár
The Footlab AI model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for MTK Budapest II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kaposvar wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,461 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II?
Kaposvar starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,650 vs 1,541).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kaposvar
Not enough data to predict the Kaposvar lineup.
MTK Budapest II
Not enough data to predict the MTK Budapest II lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaposvar have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; MTK Budapest II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 1-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FC Hatvan(away) | 4-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Pécsi MFC(away) | 0-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Dunaharaszti MTK(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kaposvar wins, 2 draws, 1 MTK Budapest II win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | MTK Budapest II 1-0 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Kaposvar 3-2 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Kaposvar 3-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 1, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 2-3 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Kaposvar 1-1 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 8, 2023 | MTK Budapest II 2-2 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaposvar score 2.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest II score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaposvar | 2.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| MTK Budapest II | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaposvar sit 2nd in NB III - Southwest (19 points from 10 matches) and MTK Budapest II sit 7th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaposvar | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 19 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 15 |
A question about Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for MTK Budapest II.
- Where and when is Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II played?
- Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rákóczi Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.