Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 28Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Rákóczi Stadion, Kaposvár
The Footlab model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for MTK Budapest II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II?
Kaposvar starts as the favourite with a 161-point Elo edge (1,670 vs 1,509).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaposvar have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; MTK Budapest II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 1-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 7-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siofok(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dombóvári(home) | 6-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Siofok(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 8-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Budafoki LC(home) | 4-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Nagykanizsai ULE(away) | 0-1 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kaposvar win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 MTK Budapest II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | MTK Budapest II 1-0 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Kaposvar 3-2 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Kaposvar 3-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 1, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 2-3 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Kaposvar 1-1 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 8, 2023 | MTK Budapest II 2-2 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest II vs Kaposvar on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaposvar score 2.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest II score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaposvar | 2.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| MTK Budapest II | 1.9 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaposvar sit 2nd in NB III - Southwest (9 points from 3 matches) and MTK Budapest II sit 7th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaposvar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II?
- The Footlab model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 58%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for MTK Budapest II.
- Where and when is Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II played?
- Kaposvar vs MTK Budapest II is played on May 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Rákóczi Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.