Érdi VSE vs MTK Budapest II: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 26Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Novák Ferenc Érdi Sportközpont, Érd
The Footlab AI model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for MTK Budapest II. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Érdi VSE vs MTK Budapest II?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Érdi VSE (1,564) and MTK Budapest II (1,567).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Érdi VSE vs MTK Budapest II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Érdi VSE
Not enough data to predict the Érdi VSE lineup.
MTK Budapest II
Not enough data to predict the MTK Budapest II lineup.
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 06:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Érdi VSE have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; MTK Budapest II have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Siofok(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Budafoki LC(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Kaposvar(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Sárbogárd(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Kaposvar(home) | 3-4 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Iváncsa(away) | 2-5 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Érdi VSE(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ferencváros II(away) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Érdi VSE wins, 0 draws, 2 MTK Budapest II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | MTK Budapest II 3-1 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Érdi VSE 1-0 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
| Sep 7, 2025 | MTK Budapest II 2-1 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 28, 2024 | MTK Budapest II 1-2 Érdi VSE | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Érdi VSE 5-3 MTK Budapest II | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest II vs Érdi VSE on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Érdi VSE score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest II score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Érdi VSE | 2.1 | 2.3 | 0 | 14/15 | 14/15 |
| MTK Budapest II | 2.2 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Érdi VSE sit 7th in NB III - Southwest (19 points from 13 matches) and MTK Budapest II sit 8th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Érdi VSE | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 19 |
| 8 | MTK Budapest II | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 25 | 18 |
A question about Érdi VSE vs MTK Budapest II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Érdi VSE vs MTK Budapest II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Érdi VSE the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for MTK Budapest II.
- Where and when is Érdi VSE vs MTK Budapest II played?
- Érdi VSE vs MTK Budapest II is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Novák Ferenc Érdi Sportközpont, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.