Iváncsa vs Kaposvar: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 26Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Iváncsai Sportpálya, Iváncsa
The Footlab model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Iváncsa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Iváncsa vs Kaposvar?
Kaposvar starts as the favourite with a 113-point Elo edge (1,670 vs 1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Iváncsa have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Kaposvar have 11, 0 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Paksi SE II(away) | 2-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Budaörs(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Szekszárd(home) | 4-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Balatonlelle SE(away) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | PTE-PEAC(home) | 1-0 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 3-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Budaörs(home) | 7-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Siofok(home) | 2-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Dombóvári(home) | 6-2 | NB III - Southwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Iváncsa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Kaposvar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | Kaposvar 2-0 Iváncsa | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 6, 2025 | Iváncsa 0-2 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Iváncsa 3-1 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 28, 2024 | Kaposvar 1-5 Iváncsa | NB III - Southwest |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Iváncsa 3-3 Kaposvar | NB III - Southwest |
| Oct 15, 2023 | Kaposvar 1-2 Iváncsa | NB III - Southwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Iváncsa score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kaposvar score 2.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iváncsa | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Kaposvar | 2.5 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Iváncsa sit 8th in NB III - Southwest (6 points from 3 matches) and Kaposvar sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaposvar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Iváncsa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Iváncsa vs Kaposvar?
- The Footlab model makes Kaposvar the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Iváncsa.
- Where and when is Iváncsa vs Kaposvar played?
- Iváncsa vs Kaposvar is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Iváncsai Sportpálya, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.