Paksi SE II vs Budaörs: prediction and stats
NB III - SouthwestSouthwest - 26Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab model makes Budaörs the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Paksi SE II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paksi SE II vs Budaörs?
Budaörs starts as the favourite with a 114-point Elo edge (1,486 vs 1,372).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paksi SE II have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Budaörs have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 0-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Ferencváros II(home) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 1-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Majosi(away) | 2-2 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Szekszárd(away) | 2-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | MTK Budapest II(home) | 1-0 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Iváncsa(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Southwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaposvar(away) | 0-7 | NB III - Southwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Érdi VSE(away) | 3-3 | NB III - Southwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Bicskei(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northwest |
How many goals should we expect?
Paksi SE II score 1.5 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Budaörs score 2.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paksi SE II | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Budaörs | 2.2 | 1.7 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paksi SE II sit 13th in NB III - Southwest (2 points from 4 matches) and Budaörs sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Budaörs | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 7 |
| 13 | Paksi SE II | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paksi SE II vs Budaörs?
- The Footlab model makes Budaörs the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Paksi SE II.
- Where and when is Paksi SE II vs Budaörs played?
- Paksi SE II vs Budaörs is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB III - Southwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.