Erkenschwick vs Vreden: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 29Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stimberg-Stadion, Oer-Erkenschwick
The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Vreden. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Erkenschwick vs Vreden?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Erkenschwick (1,649) and Vreden (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Erkenschwick have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Vreden have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maaslingen(away) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Erkenschwick(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Erkenschwick win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Vreden win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden 3-0 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Erkenschwick 2-0 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2025 | Erkenschwick 3-0 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Vreden 2-1 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Feb 25, 2024 | Vreden 1-2 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Erkenschwick 3-1 Vreden | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Vreden vs Erkenschwick on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vreden score 1.6 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Vreden | 1.6 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Erkenschwick sit 3rd in Oberliga - Westfalen (7 points from 3 matches) and Vreden sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Vreden | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Erkenschwick vs Vreden?
- The Footlab model makes Erkenschwick the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Vreden.
- Where and when is Erkenschwick vs Vreden played?
- Erkenschwick vs Vreden is played on April 25, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stimberg-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 25, 2027MaaslingenvsArminia II
- Apr 25, 2027Westfalia KinderhausvsASC Dortmund
- Apr 25, 2027Lippstadt 08vsSchermbeck
- Apr 25, 2027GievenbeckvsSpVgg Herne Horsthausen
- Apr 25, 2027Preußen Münster IIvsHiltrup
- Apr 25, 2027Victoria ClarholzvsVerl II
- Apr 25, 2027EnnepetalvsSprockhovel
- Apr 25, 2027TuS HordelvsEintracht Rheine