SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 30Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes SpVgg Herne Horsthausen the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs Erkenschwick?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate SpVgg Herne Horsthausen (1,743) and Erkenschwick (1,649).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Herne Horsthausen have 1 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats; Erkenschwick have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 2; Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SpVgg Herne Horsthausen sit 11th in Oberliga - Westfalen (3 points from 2 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs Erkenschwick?
- The Footlab model makes SpVgg Herne Horsthausen the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs Erkenschwick played?
- SpVgg Herne Horsthausen vs Erkenschwick is played on May 2, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.